Cocoa pod, cocoa butter, cocoa beans and nibs, chocolate bar

Production of high quality cocoa beans and their derivatives for export

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Production of high quality cocoa beans and their derivatives for export

Country
Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Food and Beverage
Sub Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Food and Agriculture
Indicative Return
Describes the rate of growth an investment is expected to generate within the IOA. The indicative return is identified for the IOA by establishing its Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Return of Investment (ROI) or Gross Profit Margin (GPM).
> 25% (in GPM)
Investment Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.
Medium Term (5–10 years)
Market Size
Describes the value of potential addressable market of the IOA. The market size is identified for the IOA by establishing the value in USD, identifying the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) or providing a numeric unit critical to the IOA.
> USD 1 billion
Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.
USD 1 million - USD 10 million
Direct Impact
Describes the primary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
Decent Work and Economic Growth (SDG 8)
Indirect Impact
Describes the secondary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
Good health and well-being (SDG 3) No Poverty (SDG 1) Gender Equality (SDG 5)

Business Model Description

Invest in the production of high-quality cocoa beans and their derivatives for their national and international commercialization.

Expected Impact

Investment in the production of cocoa for export would foster employment in marginalized sectors and their contribution to economic growth.

How is this information gathered?

Investment opportunities with potential to contribute to sustainable development are based on country-level SDG Investor Maps.

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Country & Regions

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Country
Region
  • Panama: Western Region
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Sector Classification

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Sector

Food and Beverage

< 3% is the agricultural share of Panama's GDP, which is well below the average of 5% for the region (LAC). Food security is of paramount interest to all governments, so they will always seek to promote investment in the productive agricultural sector in order to achieve self-sufficiency, thus moderating imports.

>33% of the population lives in rural areas. Agriculture represents the main economic activity in indigenous provinces. 15.7% of the EAP works in primary sector (9% of female workers, and 20% of male workers), and little presence from young population. 63% of producers are over 45 years old. An agricultural sector with low productivity cannot guarantee an adequate service (national/foreign).

In Panama, due to the particularity of its economic structure (oriented towards services), it has directly impacted the agricultural or primary sector, where it is characterized by a high sectoral dependence on subsidies, weak capacity to offer for exports and lack of a State policy to follow.

Sub Sector

Food and Agriculture

< 3% is the agricultural share of Panama's GDP, which is well below the average of 5% for the region (LAC). Food security is of paramount interest to all governments, so they will always seek to promote investment in the productive agricultural sector in order to achieve self-sufficiency, thus moderating imports.

>33% of the population lives in rural areas. Agriculture represents the main economic activity in indigenous provinces. 15.7% of the EAP works in primary sector (9% of female workers, and 20% of male workers), and little presence from young population. 63% of producers are over 45 years old. An agricultural sector with low productivity cannot guarantee an adequate service (national/foreign).

In Panama, due to the particularity of its economic structure (oriented towards services), it has directly impacted the agricultural or primary sector, where it is characterized by a high sectoral dependence on subsidies, weak capacity to offer for exports and lack of a State policy to follow.

Industry

Agricultural Products

Pipeline Opportunity

Discover the investment opportunity and its corresponding business model.
Investment Opportunity Area

Production of high quality cocoa beans and their derivatives for export

Business Model

Invest in the production of high-quality cocoa beans and their derivatives for their national and international commercialization.

Business Case

Learn about the investment opportunity’s business metrics and market risks.

Market Size and Environment

Market Size (USD)
Describes the value in USD of a potential addressable market of the IOA.

> USD 1 billion

CAGR
Describes the historical or expected annual growth of revenues in the IOA market.

< 5%

Critical IOA Unit
Describes a complementary market sizing measure exemplifying the opportunities with the IOA.

5M tons are produced worldwide with a price range of B/.2,500.00 - B/.2,800.00.

In the 2017/2018 agricultural year, Panama had an availability of 10,560 quintals of cocoa for export and for the national market, availability that can increase to 54,768 quintals in a period of five years, which will lead to greater growth in the sector.

Panama produces cocoa beans, paste, butter, powder and bars, however, 72% of the exportable amount is for cocoa beans and with an average of $3MM in recent years as a whole.

Indicative Return

GPM
Describes an expected percentage of revenue (that is actual profit before adjusting for operating cost) from the IOA investment.

> 25%

Few countries have ideal conditions for fine cocoa, placing Panama in a privileged position which maintains certification of a high-quality producer, obtaining higher income from production. After the project begins to produce optimally, it can generate more than 45% annual profitability/hectare.

Investment Timeframe

Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.

Medium Term (5–10 years)

A cocoa plant produces approximately 2 kilos of fruit per year, however, at least a gestation period of six (6) years is required for the first harvest with a productive life expectancy of 20 years.

Ticket Size

Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.

USD 1 million - USD 10 million

Market Risks & Scale Obstacles

Capital - CapEx Intensive

Strong investment in the acquisition of land hectares as an initial investment, infrastructure and equipment plus constant expense for the first 6 years per hectare (labor, training, planting and fertilizer), without having yet produced 1 kilo of cocoa, since the harvest begins in the seventh year.

Market - High Level of Competition

Few countries have ideal conditions for fine cocoa, placing Panama in a privileged position which maintains certification of a high-quality producer, obtaining higher income from production. After the project begins to produce optimally, it can generate more than 45% annual profitability/hectare.

Impact Case

Read about impact metrics and social and environmental risks of the investment opportunity.

Sustainable Development Need

9.9% unemployment in Panama at the end of April 2002 and informality within the economically active population increased by 0.6%, remaining at 48.2%.

According to the Ministry of Economy and Finance (MEF) of Panama, almost 40% of the rural population lives in conditions of poverty.

Gender & Marginalisation

>15% of the EAP works in the primary sector (9% of female workers, and 20% of male workers), according to data from the World Bank and with the characteristic of little presence of the young population.

Expected Development Outcome

Continue strengthening the source of income for more than 2,000 small producers, cocoa producers and their families. These are mostly part of vulnerable groups in these rural areas.

>33% of the total population of Panama lives in rural areas and agriculture represents the main economic activity in the indigenous provinces and regions.

Gender & Marginalisation

Increase the proportion of female labor force participation by at least 5% more by 2030.

Primary SDGs addressed

Decent Work and Economic Growth (SDG 8)
8 - Decent Work and Economic Growth

8.2.1 Annual growth rate of real GDP per employed person

Current Value

According to the Comptroller of the Republic of Panama for April 2022, the unemployment rate stood at 9.9% compared to October 2021 with 11.3%, but emphasizing that informality registered a slight increase. This decrease in the unemployment rate is consistent, if we take into account the GDP growth of the first quarter of 2022 with 13.6% in relation to the previous year.

Target Value

The real GDP Per Capita of Panama for 2019 amounted to more than $14 thousand and that for the year of the 2020 pandemic experienced a decrease to $11 thousand with a recovery by the end of 2021 of 12.2 thousand and with better prospects for the year in course 2022

Secondary SDGs addressed

3 - Good Health and Well-Being
1 - No Poverty
5 - Gender Equality

Directly impacted stakeholders

People

> 2,000 small producers, cocoa producers and their families, which will increase with new cocoa plantation projects. These are mostly part of vulnerable groups in these rural areas.

Gender inequality and/or marginalization

>15% of the EAP works in the primary sector (9% of female workers, and 20% of male workers), according to data from the World Bank. According to this study, the percentage of women's participation has been increasing.

Planet

Cocoa plantations have a reforestation profile, since their seedlings are robust and come to reinforce the existing shady humid vegetation necessary for their development.

Indirectly impacted stakeholders

People

The investments made in infrastructures and the conditioning of the land will mean the economic revitalization of eventual jobs as well as the development of the areas of influence on a permanent basis.

Outcome Risks

A negative externality could occur with the international price, which falls due to overproduction or another exogenous element.

Impact Risks

Low production projected by diseases or fungi to the cocoa stem, which would reduce the expected benefits.

Loss of production due to unforeseen and uncontrollable weather events such as; Hurricanes, excessive rains, droughts, etc.

Impact Classification

B—Benefit Stakeholders

What

Continue encouraging investment in the agricultural sector, which will have an impact on reducing the percentage of unemployment in that rural area.

Risk

Projected low production due to diseases or fungi to the cocoa stem, which would reduce the expected benefits.

Impact Thesis

Investment in the production of cocoa for export would foster employment in marginalized sectors and their contribution to economic growth.

Enabling Environment

Explore policy, regulatory and financial factors relevant for the investment opportunity.

Policy Environment

The regulatory entity for this investment opportunity is the Ministry of Agricultural Development, which is in charge of coordinating, promoting and strengthening the objectives established in Law 485.

Financial Environment

Financial incentives: The State Bank for Agricultural Development (BDA) has financing for the item with different types of loans, low interest and grace periods.

Panama has a wide offer of banking financial institutions of the private sector with competitive rates, less the subsidy granted by the government of 4%.

National Directorate for the Promotion of Exports, Certificate of Promotion for Agro-exports (CeFA)

Regulatory Environment

Law 485 will promote the production, increase and quality of the crop, will encourage research, development, innovation, transformation, marketing and consumption of cocoa, will encourage the participation of the item in the food agro-industry and will provide support to the cocoa sector.

Law No. 82 of December 31, 2009, creates the Program to Promote the Competitiveness of Agricultural Exports and Decree No. 65 of March 25, 2010.

Marketplace Participants

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Private Sector

Panama has a wide range of banking financial institutions in the private sector with competitive rates minus the State subsidy.

Government

Ministry of Agricultural Development (MIDA) and Cooperativa de Servicios Múltiples COCABO, RL with headquarters in Almirante, Bocas del Toro

Target Locations

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country static map
rural

Panama: Western Region

The western areas that include Chiriqui and Bocas del Toro are the most affected due to their climate and type of soil, as well as the availability of land with great vegetation necessary for the cacao business.

References

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